Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 2.311490 2.640925 3.001539 3.425737 3.911310 4.450071 5.093614
2025-08-10 1.769459 2.206166 2.727925 3.397964 4.236850 5.254124 6.584114
2025-08-17 1.457104 1.928270 2.525870 3.340890 4.426130 5.825292 7.772577
2025-08-24 1.283319 1.783258 2.449203 3.403495 4.740353 6.553339 9.210645
2025-08-31 1.148287 1.664414 2.381702 3.454638 5.025475 7.251646 10.665335
2025-09-07 1.019986 1.534975 2.278195 3.433272 5.192284 7.785213 11.925558
2025-09-14 0.904248 1.407927 2.160154 3.370625 5.281311 8.200769 13.038213
2025-09-21 0.814676 1.309043 2.071136 3.337693 5.404584 8.669868 14.269965
2025-09-28 0.734820 1.215849 1.979598 3.287689 5.489775 9.078883 15.436206
2025-10-05 0.719087 1.224083 2.049156 3.504164 6.028711 10.270175 18.022959
2025-10-12 0.669246 1.169649 2.009221 3.530557 6.245456 10.937525 19.769268
2025-10-19 0.640981 1.149012 2.023459 3.650026 6.632560 11.929903 22.187993
2025-10-26 0.588450 1.084766 1.963502 3.646051 6.825280 12.645425 24.276431
2025-11-02 0.536534 1.017042 1.892099 3.616781 6.975021 13.312041 26.382445
2025-11-09 0.486982 0.947830 1.809786 3.555939 7.054432 13.849147 28.291715
2025-11-16 0.458867 0.916426 1.794819 3.622662 7.388527 14.911901 31.382297
2025-11-23 0.432120 0.884620 1.775307 3.677169 7.702269 15.965187 34.577161
2025-11-30 0.399841 0.838032 1.721337 3.654397 7.851780 16.695048 37.164192
2025-12-07 0.366570 0.785804 1.650389 3.587630 7.898896 17.211535 39.339309
2025-12-14 0.339592 0.744094 1.597017 3.552532 8.010143 17.876156 41.926652
2025-12-21 0.313656 0.701946 1.538411 3.499240 8.073912 18.440447 44.345988
2025-12-28 0.312848 0.715573 1.602526 3.729954 8.813866 20.618831 50.887448
2026-01-04 0.296266 0.691559 1.580278 3.758084 9.080412 21.724125 54.933496